latest scottish opinion polls 2020

 

Our tracker on Scottish public opinion shows that since the middle of 2020, a consistent majority of Scots with an opinion have backed independence. The British Social Attitudes Survey has asked voters in England how Scotland should be governed, since the 1997 British Election Study. Is the Scottish Parliament giving Scotland a stronger or weaker voice in the UK? Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. [8] The research also showed, however, that the proportion of the population strongly opposed to independence had also declined. Explore the What UK Thinks website. Prior to the Scottish independence referendum in 2014, some three option opinion polls were conducted, giving respondents the option of full independence, some (undefined) form of increased devolution and the status quo. During the late 1970s and 1980s, MORI conducted opinion polls on whether Scots wanted full independence, devolution or the status quo. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means ‘I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country’ and 10 means ‘I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country’ what number would you consider yourself to be?". [17] During the spring there was essentially equal support for the two options, however from June onwards polling showed a consistent lead for "Yes". Key changes over time. These polls have been carried out since six weeks after the referendum. This page lists public opinion polls that have been conducted in relation to the issue of Scottish independence. Non-partisan information on UK attitudes to the EU before and since the EU Referendum. Almost a quarter (23 per cent) plan to vote for the Scottish Conservatives in their constituency – a four-point rise in support – with 21 per cent backing them in the regional ballot. ", "How would you vote in a Scottish independence referendum if held now? April 14, 2021 April 14, 2021 4 min read InsightNewsReport The campaign for the Scottish Parliament election resumes today, following the suspension agreed by the parties as a mark of respect for the Duke of Edinburgh. THE SCOTTISH election will take place in a few short weeks and according to the latest polls, the Scottish National Party (SNP) is currently in the lead. By Rachel Mackie Thursday, 12th November 2020, 2:53 pm The campaign for the Scottish Parliament election resumes today, following the suspension agreed by the parties as a mark of respect for the Duke of Edinburgh. UK Election Polls. In the context of Scottish independence, this means that the question would be asked in the fashion of "Should Scotland remain in the United Kingdom or leave the United Kingdom?". A slightly better result for the Lib Dems compared to other agencies, whilst the Conservatives fall back. Any confident Scottish election prediction made now is almost certain to be proved wrong on May 7, says former special adviser Campbell Gunn An SNP majority is on a knife-edge, as is the evenly-split Independence question, and Alba languish on 3%. [8] This had fallen somewhat since the SNP were first elected to become the Scottish Government in 2007. Business for Scotland poll by Panelbase, 9 April 2021 - 12 April 2021, The Observer poll by Opinium, 8 April 2021 - 9 April 2021, Scotsman poll by ComRes, 2 April 2021 - 7 April 2021. The use of this format has been criticised by Scottish nationalists; SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit".[23]. More than half of UK firms have faced disruption due to Brexit, poll finds Sky News 05:05 26-Mar-21. Many opinion polls were conducted about Scottish independence before the referendum and then during the campaign. EURef2 Poll of Polls. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Non-partisan information on attitudes to how Scotland and the UK should be governed, Results from 17 polls, conducted from 7 May 1999 to 18 March 2020, Results from 16 polls, conducted from 7 May 1999 to 18 March 2020, Results from 19 polls, conducted from 7 May 1999 to 18 March 2020. Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. ", "Clear majority in favour of Scottish independence, poll shows", "How Brexit shapes people's views on Scottish independence", "Scottish independence: More would vote for remaining in UK if referendum were held tomorrow, poll suggests", "Majority of Scots would vote to 'remain in the UK', according to new poll", "Poll: Support for Scottish independence at 32%", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1017761618, Articles with dead external links from April 2020, Articles with permanently dead external links, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, Survation/Scottish Independence Referendum Party, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. Home > Opinion Polls. In our latest Brexit-Watch interview Jonathan Saxty welcomed back Britain’s leading pollster, Professor Sir John Curtice, to talk about Brexit, Boris and the Scottish opinion polls. 2019 European Parliament Election. Latest Scottish independence poll suggests yes campaign closing gap Published: 17 Sep 2014 Guardian/ICM polls Independent Scotland should not use pound, say 63% of English and Welsh (asked after the referendum)", "How would you vote in a Scottish independence referendum if held now? [8] Curtice stated in April 2014 that support for independence had increased since December 2013, although there was disagreement between the polling companies as to the true state of public opinion. The survey by Panelbase shows 55 per cent in favour … Scottish support for breaking away from the rest of the U.K. is rising because of concern over Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s leadership, according to the latest opinion poll. They are now polling at 57% on the constituency vote and 47% on the list vote. This page was last edited on 14 April 2021, at 13:23. In the referendum, on 18 September 2014, Scotland voted against independence by 55.3% to 44.7%, with an overall turnout of 84.6%. The survey also found support and opposition to … [20] Polls conducted in early March 2021, following testimony by Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon at a Holyrood parliamentary inquiry, showed narrow leads for "No". A poll suggests support for Scottish independence is rising. Does the Scottish Parliament give ordinary people more or less say in how Scotland is governed? The Scottish Conservatives are on 20% (-3) and Scottish Labour on 18% (+1). Where do Scots parties stand in opinion polls? By … All polls, trends and election news for the the United Kingdom, Scotland and London — Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, Brexit Party, SNP, Greens, Scottish independence referendum and Scotland election polls. Poll results: UK. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Join thousands of others and get the latest Scottish politics news sent straight to your inbox. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. How should Scotland be governed? Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Poll Analysis: ComRes 2nd – 7th of April 2021. [18] In October 2020, "Yes" received its highest ever rating when an Ipsos MORI poll for STV News showed 58% of respondents in support of independence. A referendum on the subject was held on 18 September 2014. In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. 15 Dec 2020: SavantaComRes / The Scotsman: 1,013-55: 20: 16: 6-35: 9 Dec 2020: Survation: … Support for Scottish independence from the UK has reached a record high, a new poll shows. The Survation survey for the Sunday Mail shows voter intentions evenly locked at 50/50 once undecided voters had been removed, and showed support for Scottish independence at its lowest for nine months. Firstly, the SNP still look set for a landslide victory in next May’s Scottish Parliament elections, an election they will go into pledging to hold a second independence referendum. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". The State of Nationalism in Scotland, detailed the previous responses from this survey by grouping options one and two as "independence", options three and four as "devolution" and option five as "No Parliament". Support for independence is waning in Scotland and swinging behind the Union despite the SNP’s election push, an exclusive poll for The Times has revealed. On average the polls put Yes on 54 per cent and No on 46 per cent. But the irony is that the SNP's attempts to suppress the Alba vote actually amount to a call to vote tactically on the list - they're effectively saying "look at the opinion polls, they show that Alba votes might be wasted, so vote tactically for the SNP to ensure that doesn't happen". Sir John spoke about public assessment of the government’s handling of the Coronavirus pandemic, arguing it was not clear that anything has really moved the dial since May. During this period, devolution was the preferred option in each opinion poll, although support for independence increased. 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